Record streak continues for unchanged prime rate

The great news for variable rate mortgages and lines of credit is that the prime rate remained unchanged once again. This follows the Bank of Canada's rate announcement at 10:00am this morning (Wednesday, January 23, 2013). This was really no big surprised as there aren't any anticipated increases to prime rate until at least this spring or possibly even later. This means the prime rate on your mortgage or line of credit will remain unchanged at 3.00% and your payment will not change. The rate has been unchanged now since September 2010 adding to the longest unchanged streak since the 1950's. 

Here is an excerpt from the announcement made by the Bank of Canada and what they had to say about their decision:

"In Canada, the slowdown in the second half of 2012 was more pronounced than the Bank had anticipated, owing to weaker business investment and exports. Caution about high debt levels has begun to restrain household spending. The Bank expects economic growth to pick up through 2013. Business investment and exports are projected to rebound as foreign demand strengthens, uncertainty diminishes and the temporary factors that have weighed on resource sector activity are unwound. Nonetheless, exports should remain below their pre-recession peak until the second half of 2014 owing to a lower track for foreign demand and ongoing competitiveness challenges, including the persistent strength of the Canadian dollar. Consumption is expected to grow moderately and residential investment to decline further from historically high levels. The Bank expects trend growth in household credit to moderate further, with the debt-to-income ratio stabilizing near current levels.

Relative to the October MPR, Canadian economic activity is expected to be more restrained. Following an estimated 1.9 per cent in 2012, the economy is expected to grow by 2.0 per cent in 2013 and 2.7 per cent in 2014. The Bank now expects the economy to reach full capacity in the second half of 2014, later than anticipated in the October MPR."

While growth has been slower than expected, the keyword here is in fact 'growth', which is good to hear.

This doesn't affect fixed rates, which remain as low as 2.99% - 3.19% for a 5 year fixed through the mainstream market. If you know the right broker to call (wink wink), you may qualify for a 5 year fixed rate as low as 2.84% at the moment.

Given this information, I would recommend anyone currently enjoying a deeper discount (prime -0.50 or more) to stay where they are, unless they are feeling uncomfortable with all the economic volatility. Anyone with less of a discount may want to consider switching to take advantage of today's historical low rates, which may be very similar to what you are paying right now, however it will give you protection against future rate increases. It may also be a great time to consolidate any higher interest debt into your mortgage to take advantage of such low rates and lowering your overall monthly payment and amount of interest you are paying significantly.

The next interest rate announcement will be on March 6th, 2013. 

Here is the link to the announcement with the full details: http://www.bankofcanada.ca/2013/01/pres ... 013-01-23/

Just how long can the prime rate remain unchanged?

Not that this should come as any surprise to anyone, at 9:00am this morning (Tuesday, December 4th, 2012), the Bank of Canada did what we expected once again.....they maintained their overnight rate (which is what prime rate is based on).  This means the prime rate on your mortgage or line of credit will remain unchanged at 3.00%.  Anyone with a variable rate mortgage or line of credit will continue enjoying their low rate and low payment.   The rate has been unchanged now since September 2010 which makes it the longest unchanged streak since the 1950's.

Here is an excerpt from the announcement made by the Bank of Canada and what they had to say about their decision:

[i]"In Canada, economic activity in the third quarter was weak, owing in part to transitory disruptions in the energy sector. Although underlying momentum appears slightly softer than previously anticipated, [u]the pace of economic growth is expected to pick up through 2013[/u]. The expansion is expected to be driven mainly by growth in consumption and business investment, reflecting very stimulative domestic financial conditions. Housing activity is beginning to decline from historically high levels. While the household debt burden continues to rise, growth in household credit has slowed. It is too early, however, to determine whether the moderation in housing activity and credit growth will be sustained.  Canadian exports are [u]expected to pick up gradually[/u] but continue to be restrained by weak foreign demand and ongoing competitiveness challenges.  These challenges include the persistent strength of the Canadian dollar, which is being influenced by safe haven flows and spillovers from global monetary policy."[/i]

Some of the key points in there are the mention of 'growth' and 'expected to pick up', which is always good to hear in these reports.  Some economists are predicting that rates will remain unchanged until mid-2013, but I wouldn't be surprised at all if they were held until further into the year at least.

This doesn't affect fixed rates, which remain as low as 3.09% - 3.19% for a 5 year fixed, although I have 5 year fixed rates as low as 2.89% at the moment, which are actually expected to drop even further by the end of this week.

Given this information, I would recommend anyone currently enjoying a deeper discount (prime -0.50 or more) to stay where they are, unless they are feeling uncomfortable with all the economic volatility.  Anyone with less of a discount may want to consider switching to take advantage of today's historical low rates, which may be very similar to what you are paying right now, however it will give you protection against future rate increases. It may also be a great time to consolidate any higher interest debt into your mortgage to take advantage of such low rates and lowering your overall monthly payment and amount of interest you are paying significantly.

The next interest rate announcement will be on January 23rd, 2013.

The biggest mistake people make when looking for a mortgage.

One of the biggest mistakes mortgage shoppers make is selecting a mortgage professional without asking them any questions about themselves.  Whether you are dealing with a mortgage broker, or the mortgage specialist at your bank, it is important that you know you are dealing with someone who has a deep knowledge of the industry, and who is going to put your needs over their own (or the bank they work for).

You want to be dealing with a professional who is knowledgeable and going to take the time to listen to your needs and present your options to you based on your goals. As your mortgage is an important decision, make sure you are dealing with a professional that you feel comfortable with who is competent and can get your mortgage closed with as little stress to you as possible.

I had a client who left me to go to their bank, even though it was at a higher rate. They said that the specialist at the bank was telling them that they didn't need to have all the documents I was asking for and that they needed next to nothing. I tried to explain to them that the bank was still going to need all the same documents and that they just haven't asked for them yet. The clients didn't listen to me and went with their bank. I heard through my referral source that they were scrambling to come up with the documents the day before closing, which was when the bank rep starting asking for them. As a result, their home purchase ended up closing late, and the client incurred a lot of unnecessary stress.

My point is, competence is hugely important. Always ask questions before choosing someone to deal with.  One of the biggest mistakes someone can make is choosing a mortgage professional based on rate alone. It doesn't matter if you are going through a mortgage broker or through the mortgage specialist at a big bank.  Make sure you ask a lot of questions to ensure you feel comfortable with the individual who is handling your mortgage.  Some good questions to ask:

1.  How long have you been doing this for?

I would look for someone who has been in the business full-time for at least three years.  If they have been doing it less than that, then you may want to ask a few more questions.  You can also ask how many mortgages they have closed.  If it is less than 100, I would look for alternatives.

2.  Do you do this full or part time?

Don’t deal with anyone who is in the business part time. You want to ensure the person you are working with is committed to their profession and their mind is on YOU, and not on their primary income source.  It is also very unlikely that a part-timer would have that much experience.  They also may not be as available as you would like them to be.

3. Do you have any references or testimonials?

It is always good to know that the professional you choose has a history of satisfied clients.  If they have done a good job for their clients in the past, there is a better chance that they will do a great job for you as well.

4. What kind of education or licensing do you have?

Some professionals will have more education or training than others. Find out how well the person you are dealing with is trained before proceeding.

5. How easy are you to get a hold of? How quickly do you return calls or emails?

There are going to be times when you have questions, and you are going to want to have them answered quickly. 

6. What hours are you available?

It can be helpful to know that the person you are dealing with is can be flexible and is willing to work with YOUR schedule, not theirs.

7. How do you get most of your business?

Ideally, most of their business should come from referrals.  You want to know that their past clients are happy enough with their services that they are referring them to their friends and family.

8. How are fixed mortgage rates determined?

This is simply a question to gauge their competence level and is something that any quality mortgage professional will know right away.  If they can’t answer this, or if they have to ‘get back to you’, then I would move on to the next person.  (The answer is bond yields.)

Hope this is found to be helpful.

Just how low can fixed mortgage rates get?

The only thing more exciting than buying a new home is knowing that you were given a super low mortgage rate, and the only thing that can add to that excitement is knowing that they may be coming down even further.

Bond yields are what fixed mortgage rates are determined by, and after seeing some large increases to the yields throughout the month of August and early September, we saw fixed mortgage rates rise with some lenders.   That trend has reversed over the past few weeks, putting downward pressure on mortgage rates.    

While this trend has already encouraged some mortgage lenders to drop their rates, we can expect to see some further drops if the trend continues.

Right now, you can still get a 5 year fixed mortgage as low as 2.99%. Possibly even lower if you know the right people (wink wink), but I am confident we will start seeing some rates even lower than this over the next week to two weeks. Even at 2.99% for a 5 year fixed can be placed into the 'ridiculous' category given just how low it is by historical standards. The lowest I have been able to offer in the past was 2.79%. Let's see if the new trend can bring us back into that ballpark.

Last day for 30 year amortization and refinancing up to 85%

As everyone is already aware, the maximum amortization available will be dropping from 30 years to 25 years and the maximum refinance will drop from 85% of your homes value to 80%.  Although these changes don't become firm until this Monday, July 9th, the last day mortgage applications will be accepted will be by the end of day tomorrow, Friday July 6th.  Some lenders have already stopped accepting applications and have already fully implemented the new rules early, which was expected.

If you are looking at refinancing up to 85% and/or looking for an amortization of 30 years, make sure you don't delay any further in getting your mortgage applications submitted.   3 year fixed mortgage rates are currently as low as 2.69% and 5 year fixed as low as 2.94%.

The real truth behind the new mortgage regulations

Canadian Finance Minister Jim Flaherty introduced new, tighter regulation this morning in attempt to slightly cool our red hot housing market.  The first change is the maximum amortization will drop from 30 years to 25 years, making it harder to qualify for a mortgage for many people.  While amortization length really doesn't affect the amount of debt someone has, it does affect the amount of interest they pay.

But is it really going to affect qualification that much?  

One thing many people tend to forget is that mortgage rates are ridiculously low right now.   If we look back four years ago when we had a 40 year amortization available to us, 5 year fixed mortgage rates were 5.99%.  At this rate, a $300,000 mortgage with a 40 year amortization would carry a monthly payment of $1,633.23.   At today's 5 year fixed rate of 3.19%, the same $300,000 mortgage with a 25 year amortization would be only $1,449.14. (There are 5 year fixed rates as low as 2.94% right now, but 3.19% is more widespread).  Even with the lowered amortization, the lower payment still makes it easier for home buyers to qualify for mortgage today than it would have been 4 years ago.

That being said, I think the drop in amortization is a good idea overall.  It well help home owners build equity much quicker over the term of our mortgage.  

Another major change made today is the maximum refinance will drop from 85% of the homes value to 80%.  This I have mixed feelings about, as it can actually cost some people a lot more money than need be.  Rather than implementing this regulation across the board, I would just restrict it based on the use of the funds.  For example, if someone is refinancing their home to raise money to take the family to  Disney World, than they are just going into further debt unnecessarily. This type of equity take out is what should be restricted.  

What should be still allowed however, is equity take outs for debt consolidation.  

If John and Mary Homeowner have $40,000 in credit card debt at 19.99% interest, why not let them consolidate that into their mortgage at a 5 year fixed rate of 3.19% (or lower)?  Even if they had to go up to 90%, as long as the regulation required them to than cancel those cards, or at least lower their limits to a manageable $1,500 to allow them to maintain a healthy credit score.  If this were the case, instead of having a $1,200 MINIMUM monthly payment on their credit cards, John and Mary Homeowner would only have to pay an additional $193.22 per month as part of their mortgage, saving them $1,006.78.  

The regulation could even take it one step further and require them to put that savings toward their mortgage which would pay it down SIGNIFICANTLY saving them literally tens of thousands of dollars in interest in the first 5 years alone.  Under the new regulation, they are stuck with this debt and added strain on their finances. Hmmmmm... maybe I should be the finance minister? 

The third change in regulation is lowering the gross debt service ratio (GDS) to 39% from the current 44%.  The GDS is your principal, interest, property tax and heating costs divided by your gross income.  It will definitely affect some home buyers, but at the same time, gives them flexibility to carry other debts as well, without feeling any added financial strain.  It is the homebuyers with little to no current monthly debt obligations that this will affect the most. 

The fourth regulation is to limit CMHC insured mortgages to $1 million.  Definitely not something that is going to affect the masses by any means. 

One thing that we know, is that we will eventually see fixed mortgage rates increase.  History shows that 5 year fixed rates were often between 5 and 6%.  If the mortgage regulations continued to let people buy with extended amortization and higher qualifying ratios, many homeowners may find themselves in tough situations at time of renewal when they find out that their mortgage payment has now increased by several hundred dollars.  These tighter regulations open the door for them to loosen them back up again one the mortgages rates are higher, which will give people more options to keep their payments affordable at time of renewal.

[Edit] These new mortgage regulations will be implemented on July 9th.

Prime lending rate remains unchanged

As you know, a variable rate mortgage or line of credit is based on the prime rate. At 9:00am this morning (Tuesday, June 5th, 2012), the Bank of Canada did what we expected them to do once again.....they maintained their overnight rate (which is what prime rate is based on). What this means to you is that the prime rate on your variable rate mortgage or line of credit will remain unchanged at 3.00%. This is great news as anyone on a variable rate mortgage or with a line of credit can continue enjoying their low rate and low payment. Here is an excerpt from the announcement made by the Bank of Canada and what they had to say about their decision: "Although economic growth in Canada was slightly slower than expected in the first quarter, underlying economic momentum appears largely consistent with expectations. However, the composition of growth is less balanced. In particular, housing activity has been stronger than expected, and households continue to add to their debt burden in an environment of modest income growth. Despite external events, business and household confidence has held up and domestic financial conditions remain very stimulative. The contribution of government spending to growth is expected to be quite modest over the projection horizon, in line with recent federal and provincial budgets. The recovery in net exports is likely to remain weak in light of modest external demand and ongoing competitiveness challenges, including the persistent strength of the Canadian dollar." While it states that economic growth in Canada was slightly slower than expected, the key word is is 'growth' which means we are not in recession. This growth is expected to continue, although we still may not see an increase in prime rate until well into 2013. When it does start to increase, it will be gradual, slow, controlled increases to be in line with economic recovery. Changes in prime rate are typically only 0.25% at a time and it has been this way since 1992. This doesn't affect fixed rates, which remain at 3.19% - 3.39% for a 5 year fixed, although I have 5 year fixed rates as low as 2.97% at the moment. Given this information, I would recommend anyone currently enjoying a deeper discount (prime -0.50 or more) to stay where they are, unless they are feeling uncomfortable with all the economic volatility. Anyone with less of a discount may want to consider switching to take advantage of today's historical low rates, which may be very similar to what you are paying right now. It may also be a great time to consolidate any higher interest debt into your mortgage to take advantage of such low rates and lowering your overall monthly payment significantly.