Tuesday 5 June 2012

Prime lending rate remains unchanged


As you know, a variable rate mortgage or line of credit is based on the prime rate. At 9:00am this morning (Tuesday, June 5th, 2012), the Bank of Canada did what we expected them to do once again.....they maintained their overnight rate (which is what prime rate is based on). What this means to you is that the prime rate on your variable rate mortgage or line of credit will remain unchanged at 3.00%. This is great news as anyone on a variable rate mortgage or with a line of credit can continue enjoying their low rate and low payment.

Here is an excerpt from the announcement made by the Bank of Canada and what they had to say about their decision:

"Although economic growth in Canada was slightly slower than expected in the first quarter, underlying economic momentum appears largely consistent with expectations. However, the composition of growth is less balanced. In particular, housing activity has been stronger than expected, and households continue to add to their debt burden in an environment of modest income growth. Despite external events, business and household confidence has held up and domestic financial conditions remain very stimulative. The contribution of government spending to growth is expected to be quite modest over the projection horizon, in line with recent federal and provincial budgets. The recovery in net exports is likely to remain weak in light of modest external demand and ongoing competitiveness challenges, including the persistent strength of the Canadian dollar."

While it states that economic growth in Canada was slightly slower than expected, the key word is is 'growth' which means we are not in recession. This growth is expected to continue, although we still may not see an increase in prime rate until well into 2013. When it does start to increase, it will be gradual, slow, controlled increases to be in line with economic recovery. Changes in prime rate are typically only 0.25% at a time and it has been this way since 1992.

This doesn't affect fixed rates, which remain at 3.19% - 3.39% for a 5 year fixed, although I have 5 year fixed rates as low as 2.97% at the moment.

Given this information, I would recommend anyone currently enjoying a deeper discount (prime -0.50 or more) to stay where they are, unless they are feeling uncomfortable with all the economic volatility. Anyone with less of a discount may want to consider switching to take advantage of today's historical low rates, which may be very similar to what you are paying right now. It may also be a great time to consolidate any higher interest debt into your mortgage to take advantage of such low rates and lowering your overall monthly payment significantly.

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